Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.435595 0.561204 0.697348 0.853934 1.027301 1.211833 1.421638
2025-05-04 0.287319 0.460796 0.667759 0.923491 1.223162 1.556780 1.950443
2025-05-11 0.209525 0.402503 0.650050 0.970846 1.359879 1.804053 2.338611
2025-05-18 0.141288 0.337427 0.610080 0.980500 1.444158 1.985383 2.647686
2025-05-25 0.076016 0.253748 0.529565 0.926163 1.440391 2.054872 2.819729
2025-06-01 0.032981 0.184053 0.454187 0.867446 1.422553 2.100850 2.958454
2025-06-08 0.012450 0.141323 0.409548 0.843257 1.443056 2.188936 3.143319
2025-06-15 0.004547 0.120828 0.396638 0.861013 1.516148 2.340341 3.403099
2025-06-22 0.000257 0.094831 0.367936 0.851801 1.550779 2.441943 3.601128
2025-06-29 NaN 0.069734 0.333788 0.830125 1.565697 2.516684 3.764784
2025-07-06 NaN 0.064729 0.340584 0.872222 1.668225 2.702964 4.065663
2025-07-13 NaN 0.062374 0.352748 0.922757 1.782498 2.904412 4.385496
2025-07-20 NaN 0.059358 0.364672 0.976376 1.906381 3.125021 4.737955
2025-07-27 NaN 0.062568 0.392960 1.058439 2.072266 3.402142 5.163458
2025-08-03 NaN 0.058613 0.401728 1.107221 2.190403 3.616937 5.510943
2025-08-10 NaN 0.047643 0.388800 1.118117 2.253873 3.760414 5.769472
2025-08-17 NaN 0.027349 0.338269 1.059693 2.214818 3.768132 5.856755
2025-08-24 NaN 0.012431 0.288690 0.996628 2.165104 3.759102 5.920764
2025-08-31 NaN 0.005712 0.261182 0.970583 2.167769 3.817602 6.068260
2025-09-07 NaN 0.003682 0.257285 0.989699 2.238371 3.967015 6.331393
2025-09-14 NaN 0.001173 0.239746 0.979784 2.263714 4.054896 6.515608
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000018 0.216970 0.956440 2.266952 4.111972 6.659748
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000008 0.226286 1.001759 2.377692 4.315779 6.992815